Yuri
Tarnopolsky
ESSAYS
Essay 36. On Fatalism
Lao Tzu. Goethe. Faust. How-to books.
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Essay
36.
On Fatalism
In Essay
33, The Corg, I said that my attitude toward
history was fatalistic. Whatever my attitude is,
history does not care. It is my own life that
depends on my attitude to it. But does it? The
power of idea, like the power of hurricane and
earthquake, has manifested countless times
throughout history. What
is idea, after all? We have a word for it—idea—but
is it anything tangible, measurable, and
empirically detectable? What is fate, for example?
I have mentioned it many times in the previous
Essays. Does the word signify anything, and if so,
can we change our fate? Such
confusing ideas as equality, justice, democracy,
and truth have been causing endless arguments
turning into fights and upheavals. If instead we
use terms inequality, laws of the land,
system of government, and opinion,
the arguments subside because what the second set
of ideas signifies is definable and demonstrable.
Inequality is measurable (Essay 31, On Poverty
), the laws (often ambiguous) of the land are
listed, the system of government (often paralyzed)
can be explored in action, and an opinion can be
tested and compared with other opinions and facts.
There
is a great inequality between ideas. Some ideas
are deemed false. Some are concepts and
abstractions that people can easily agree on. Others
are sacred by definition. Genealogy of ideas can
be traced. They are used productively by
professionals and can generate progeny of other
ideas. Others, in use by prophets and commoners,
seem to be an eternal source of squabble and
perplexity. There is a simple reason for that: any
large numbers of objects—whether peas or
people—always deviate from the average. Evidently,
no large and free community can come to complete
agreement on anything, except within narrow
congregations, cliques, and circles. Professional
terms are defined for narrow layers of
professionals and this is why some ideas of a
narrow usage work fine. From
the positivist standpoint, which demands a proof
for everything, fate should be rejected. However,
considering how much such illegitimate idea as fate
influenced the fate (see, we just can't do without
this word) of many people, we at least have to
linger a little before throwing it out. Is
fate just a synonym of current or future reality?
It was, in Greek mythology, where three Moiras
(Parcas in Rome) divided the labor of spinning the
thread of human life, assigning content to it, and
cutting in due time. The handcraft metaphor
clearly confirms that the initial idea of fate had
been the same as life itself and the divergence
happened later, when people started asking
questions about the entire technology of existence
and whether some profit could be made on improving
it. Manuals are still in demand, see Appendix 1.
Greek
tragedy, for example, Oedipus Rex by Sophocles, presents
a more rational than esoteric form of fatalism.
The tragedy, as the myth itself, has meaning
because the plan, revealed by an oracle, comes
from credible authors: gods. The actual events can
be compared with the plan, like a theoretical
prediction with a scientific experiment. To
rationalize fate, it turns out, we have to believe
in gods. Fatalism seems to have meaning only in
context of a larger doctrine and this may be true
about any other esoteric belief. Not accidentally,
fate is often discussed in connection with
religion or Marxism, i.e., when there is very
little room left to discussion. Otherwise
(environment, human race, European Union) it
simply means the future. The
Greeks, it seems to me, developed a metaphoric
understanding of human nature and environment,
which was an evidence of knowledge in the
state of spit between art and science. Metaphor
alone could not satisfy human mind, curious and
restless, which tried to look at the hidden side
of things, to see how they were attached to each
other, what was inside, and name everything there
by different words. After Aristotle, metaphor went
with poetry that maintained the view of the world
as a whole. Science took the things under a
magnifying glass, one by one, isolated, with
endless skepticism, ignoring the rest of the world
and leaving no room for metaphor. It is a purpose
of all these Essays to analyze how and why the
neo-metaphoric view of the world makes sense. The
numerous residents of ancient Pantheon represented
major types of personality and patterns of human
behavior. That was, probably, a common trait of
all polytheist religions consisting not of rules
and commandments, but of examples, exceptions, and
illustrations. The intricate pantheons of
Maya and Aztec mythologies look like
first encyclopedias comprising all important
aspects of human existence. After
the colorful and comfortable (probably, more so
for Greeks than for Aztecs and Maya) diversity of
paganism, the monotheistic religions put human
mind under a severe stress out of which the quest
for secular understanding was born, with its
unstoppable division into sciences and narrow
fields. In the cultural marketplace, a postmodern
Poptheon
has been erected in place of the Pantheon of
artists and writers of pre-computer era.
Monotheism, like any monopoly, is something any
hedonist secretly loathes. Really, one God leaves
you no alternative! It smells of fate and fate
smells of death. If
fatalism is a belief in an existence of some plan,
design, and general course of life which is
impossible to change, then fate may have an
interpretation other than a mystical power or the
will of gods. It could be simply genetically
predetermined component of personality, acquired
but ossified habits and patterns of behavior,
impenetrable social walls, and even the laws of
thermodynamics, sometimes taking form of Murphy's
Laws. With such
understanding, we do not need any observations of
the actual course of events because the laws of
nature work always. The snag, however, is
in the "always." Not
only all the most general laws of nature are thin
on specifics, but, more important, they never
deterministically include the variable of time.
The fact of limited duration of individual
life—death, to put it bluntly—is the major
inspiration of arts and philosophy, whether we
fear or deny our absolute end. It is a mystery
exactly because of the uncertainty of timing.
"Always" is only a figure of speech as far as any
individual life is concerned. To say that a law of
nature is timeless is to say that it is
probabilistic. We can die any moment, but more
probable later than right now. We
call the events that will never happen impossible
. There are no specific laws of nature,
however, concerning how soon possible
events do happen. If we take chemistry, for
example, where the question of time is crucial,
the prediction is based on a combination of
timeless laws of nature, i.e., thermodynamics, and
practical observations that can be trivialized as:
if the circumstances are favorable, it happens
sooner, and if not, it happens later. In other
words, it is better to sell umbrellas on a rainy
day than to sell sand in a sand desert. Similarly,
in everyday life, if we know a probability of a
certain event, we can in many cases tell if a
somewhat different event is more probable or less
probable. Therefore,
we can change our fate, within some limits, by
studying technical books of the kind listed in Appendix 1.
But can we change our desires that guide the
selection of techniques? Our fate is what we
really want and if our abilities and character do
not fit our desires, we can hardly realize our
dreams, especially, the wildest ones. Buddhism and
Taoism both offer a working solution: give up your
desires. If anything can insure a long life of any
religion, it is the difficulty to follow all its
commandments. My
personal time scale is limited. What about
historical one? On the historical scale, there is
a large, almost infinite, resource of time. It is
being eaten out (see Essay 2), but is
supplied fresh every morning, anyway, although
always in the same strictly measured quantity. There
is a certain similarity between an individual and
society. On a larger scale, there is a form of
historical fatalism called historicism. Historicism,
which is closely associated with holism, is the
belief that history develops inexorably and
necessarily according to certain principles or
rules towards a determinate end (as for example in
the dialectic of Hegel, which was adopted and
implemented by Marx). (Steven Thornton). If a person moves toward a
definite end, according to inexorable laws of
nature, so may large collections of persons known as
societies. Individual civilizations and cultures are
definitely as mortal as any human being and as
capable of self-perpetuation and breeding. It is
difficult to deny that any positive knowledge has a
flavor of fatalism: whatever your intent, the things
will run according to the laws of nature. The
controversy arises when fatalism clashes with its
twin brother Free Will. The difference between both
is not as radical as one can imagine: fatalism is a
Big Brother's (or Big Father's) free will. The
observation that people and nations seem to be
cast into different molds raised the question: can
we change our molds? The entire continuous
spectrum of answers has been generated with time.
The problem of fatalism would be of no interest if
we were fatalistic about it. In fact, all we care
about is how we can control our life. How to make
a million overnight? How to preserve youth and
beauty? How to cure cancer? How to have it all?
These down-to-earth questions are quite different
of those posed by existentialism (see Essay
27, The Existential Sisyphus). Existential
questions are always individual. The problem I am
seriously interested in is the historical
fatalism: when we see that society, from our point
of view, takes a wrong, dangerous, or simply
boring course, should we resist it in our hearts
or accept the change? The future generations will
find the result as fait accompli, anyway,
and will learn about the change only from history
and not from their own experience. For them,
"wrong" and "dangerous" will have a different
meaning. Does it make sense to resist the
historical fate instead of surrendering one's will
to some powerful collective forces that would not
ask for consent later? But this is a different
topic. Here I am looking at my own life. I
considered myself a fatalist since my youth. I
don't think I clearly understood what fatalism
was, however. My life lay ahead, unknown and
untested. I have
never been a fatalist in the sense that I believed
in a certain plan of events that could not be
changed. Whatever we do or do not and whatever
happens afterwards, there is no way to know
whether it was anticipated by any plan unless we
know the plan itself. The true fatalist, probably,
believes that it does not matter whether we know
the plan or not because the actual unfolding of
life is always identical with the plan, but a
skeptic like myself can rely only on a reasonable
evidence. Neither
a practicing nor a secular fatalist, I still feel
drawn toward the concept of fate—like many
generations before me. If science has no qualms
discussing the fate of the universe or humankind,
why should I? The scientific approach to fate also
presumes the existence of some plan, not signed
and sealed at some otherworld office, but revealed
to a curious and diligent observer. I may
have a fate of a kind, after all. In terms of
evolutionary drawers (Essay 32, The Split),
fate may mean simply a larger drawer which I under
no conditions can leave. I am able, nevertheless,
to move between a few smaller dwellings of my own
will. The concept of fate as a set of
limiting principles—i.e., establishing
impossibility of something—looks quite respectable
for a scientist. It is our fate never to make
eternal motion, for example. This is very far from
the common concept of fate, however. Fate must
say, yes, this is what is going to happen. Oracles
cannot predict what is not going to happen. And so
the oracle of Delphi tells Croeusus, king of
Lydia, that if he attacks the Persians, he will
destroy a mighty empire. And in fact, he did: he
lost his own kingdom. The treacherous prophesy
was, probably, prompted by a plethora of precious
gifts that Croesus had sent to the oracle before
asking his advice. In my
youth at least three oracles predicted that I
would end up badly, which, in terms of limiting
principles, meant not to end up well. I was about
twelve years old when a hairdresser said that my
tough hair was a sign of bad temper and I would
have problems. The other was the dean of the
college faculty ( I was in my twenties) who said
essentially the same when I had tried to seek
justice on behalf of another student. Much later,
disturbed by my listening to BBC in English on
short-wave radio, my father was more specific,
predicting that I would get into prison. All three
had an ample experience with hair, students, and
Soviet system, respectively. Outside
Russia, fatalism is exemplified by Russian
roulette. I read about a version of it very early,
in The Fatalist, the last chapter in a
short novel entitled A Hero of our Time
by Mikhail
Lermontov. How
early? My grandmother had given me the book when I
was about five years old and could understand only
pictures. One of the first books I ever read, it
was with me through all my school years. For half
of those years I could not fully understand it,
however. Pechorin,
the "Hero of our Time," was an extreme
individualist. Since individualism was anathema in
Soviet Russia, the term "redundant man" (out of
place, useless) was instead applied in
school textbooks . The novel,
extraordinarily innovative for 1840, is
available online in English and is much worth
reading. The main character of The Fatalist
suggests the test and runs it: "Gentlemen, why this
idle argument [about fate]? You wish for proof:
I propose we test it out on ourselves whether a
man can do what he wants with his own life, or
whether the fateful moment has been preordained
for each of us . . . Who wants to try?" The
composition, laconic style, and sense of doom in
the book still seem modern. Next year after the
publication, at the age of 27, Lermontov, one of
the most gifted writers Russia ever knew, was
killed on a duel. When I
was leaving Russia for good, after a decade of
being in a limbo, Lermontov's words sounded in my
ears: Прощай, немытая Россия, Страна рабов, страна господ, И вы, мундиры голубые, И ты, им преданный народ. Good-bye,
dirty Russia, Writing this Essay, I begin to
understand that I was infected with virulent
individualism, probably, at the age of six, when I
learned to read. I could not inherit it: none of my
relatives displayed it at any substantial degree. But
why fatalism?
Individualist believes that his fate does not depend
on other people. I
understood fatalism—when I was able to understand it
my way—not as the acceptance of the general course
of life ( I can always find reasons to protest) but
as a belief that any tangled, stressed, and
confusing situation will be resolved on its own, as
I understood much later, simply
because the stress cannot last by the laws of
thermodynamics. It
is always temporary by definition. The solution—not
the causes of the situation—should be accepted
because it would always be for the better. It is the
stressed and confusing situation which is bad,
exhausting, dangerous, and warning of tragedy. However
“better,” it is a pessimistic view. The best
known literary proponent of paranoid optimism was
Pangloss, a character of Voltaire's Candide,
who believed that everything happened for the best
in this best of worlds. "Well,
my dear Pangloss," said Candide, "when you were
hanged, dissected, severely beaten, and tugging at
the oar in the galley, did you always think that
things in this world were all for the best?" "I am
still as I always have been, of my first opinion,"
answered Pangloss; "for as I am a philosopher, it
would be inconsistent with my character to
contradict myself;..." Candide,
Chapter XXVIII. That kind of belief was certainly
possible only if supported by a doctrine, without
which there is no philosopher. If such
a doctrine existed for my early optimism, it would
incorporate the idea of Goethe about happiness. It
is the state out of which no movement seems to have
any attraction and in which we want time to stop.
From the point of view of science, this may
look like a thermodynamic minimum, i.e., the state
of the lowest energy from which there is no
spontaneous exit. It is a marble at the bottom of a
wok. It is the opposite of stress, but it does not
last, either, in life and history, by the same
reasons as stress. Life and society are evolving
complex open systems.
The
marble reaches its happy state on its own. The
non-equilibrium world of human existence, however,
is not the same as the world of marbles and
utensils. It is more like the world of Lewis Carroll
where you have to run in order to stay on the spot.
The picture, at least in the Western tradition of
active life, should be turned upside down. In the
actual thermodynamics of happiness along Goethe, the
way to happiness is arduous. It is like climbing a
mountain until, at the very top, there is no more
mountain to climb. Naturally, one can live on the
top of a mountain but for a short time. A blast of
wind can knock one off the bliss. In practice, a
creative personality has to explore the entire
landscape to make the bliss recurrent. For the
Greeks, happiness had no metaphor: it was one of
primary and self-evident categories, without the
backside, and a measure of other things. Goethe, who
lived one hundred years after Newton and Leibniz, in
the world where the divergence between art and
science had already happened, was looking for
complexity of simple things. In his pursuit of
individual freedom, combined with elitist mentality,
he saw happiness as non-competitive leadership. It
was the happiness of the settler on the open
frontier. It was the happiness of the winning army
general and successful CEO. The opposite idea of
happiness has been that of Taoist non-action (wu wei ), i.e.,
following the natural course of things. The
difference between both was like to have and to have
not, but a healthy philosophy should better include
both. I
believe now that our personal fate depends on the
position of our character on the scale between Faust
before the devil comes to help him and Faust at the
end of his life. I never wanted to command or judge
people, and I certainly had something of a Taoist
type, although it came to me not from Chinese
philosophy but from Dhammapada, an
important book of my youth. A combination of Taoist
and Faustian genes, like a love-hate relationship,
cannot make anybody happy. Life becomes a constant
search for a more comfortable position on a steep
slope. I suspect that extreme individualism has a
backside: do not touch me and I will not touch you.
This makes either active or passive life equally
difficult. Whether
we are closer to a CEO or a Taoist hermit, our
actual life will be strongly determined not only by
our socio-genetic makeup, but also by how many other
potential emperors and hermits are nearby, see Essay
35, Crowds and Elites, Bottlenecks and Demons.
Life is very much different in highly active and
competitive societies, as compared with the
saturated and sleepy ones. I am
about to say something truly sacrilegious. I have
an impression that the individualistic nature of the
modern American society is greatly exaggerated. It
has become a myth. When people are admitted to an
open and honest contest, they enter it alone. But in
a society of big numbers and mass production, the
impossibility of direct democratic contest in a
sufficiently small circle of people, who can see and
hear each other and finish their business in
reasonable time, limits individualism. People have
to form alliances and attack hostile camps, divide
and conquer, and do all kinds of things suggested by
Machiavelli and warned against by Lao Tzu. But this
is what Western civilization is about: action,
competition, progress, bottlenecks, and demons. The
more energy consumed, the more wasted. The more mass
production, the more loss. The more progress, the
more phony. And yet, this civilization of
pushbuttons and price tags has an incredible
seducing power because it makes every hermit to feel
as comfortable about mundane needs as an emperor of
the past. No, it is not the Epicurean ideal yet
because it is afraid of death. I hope
to come back to this contradiction between
competition and individualism once again. I often
heard from my father the Russian equivalent of the
French Que sera, sera (Что
будет, то
будет). In this
form, fatalism was an essential component of
traditional Russian mentality. In the mythology of
American westerns, it took, curiously, the form of
"The man's got to do what the man's got to do," all
the more, the happy end was granted. My fatalism was
based on my very natural for the young age and
Soviet (and Hollywood) premise that life was written
along a scenario with happy end for each episode.
Youth is as inebriating a doctrine as Christianity,
Islam, and Marxism can be at times. My
belief in fate was essentially the belief in an
unlimited time given to me. I would never test my
fate with a loaded revolver, as the character in The
Fatalist (and Lermontov himself) did, but I
could too easily let myself get into a jam and watch
with curiosity my own wriggling and attempts of
self-extrication that would only get me deeper into
the mess. Nevertheless, the moment of resolution
always came with time. Even
after 30, I still believed that I could get out of
any mess. I learned that every trauma of failure
healed, given enough time, and the only serious
peril for me could come from the lack of time. And,
of course, the imminent lack of time is our ultimate
fate. Fate is as subjected to aging, gloom, and
general disappointment in life as people who believe
in it. Fate is our reflection in the mirror. The
words “characters is destiny” have been attributed
to various sources from Heraclitus to Napoleon, of
which the former is the oldest source. Now I
understand that my form of fatalism had a good deal
of arrogant but lazy individualism in it: a very
disrespectful way to interpret Taoism and Buddhism.
Haste is the enemy of anything lasting and
procrastination is a friend of nothingness. Nevertheless,
I am still fatalist in the sense that my personality
is something as useless to fight as the laws of
nature. I cannot change the deep and general causes
of events, neither can I ward off their
consequences, nor can I change myself. This is why I
tend to avoid acts of extraordinary effort,
subconsciously mumbling que sera, sera. Of
course, the true reason could be just a lack of
energy caused by the Taoist genes. I am
telling myself that only extraordinary things are
worth extraordinary efforts, but extraordinary
things are such only because they are hard and near
impossible to reach. The vicious cycle of this
reasoning is not a good philosophy for America. But
let us turn to the Faustian philosophy: Nur
der verdient sich Freiheit wie das Leben, I
translate this as: Only those deserve freedom as
they deserve life I find
it rather harsh and inhuman. It sounds to me like "Arbeit
macht frei." No, to fight daily is not
freedom, it is slavery. But Faust,
one of the first surrealist works, has no single
rational interpretation. This is not Lorelei.
Any form
of fatalism is very bad for a highly competitive
society where only the philosophy of fight brings
advancement. And yet I am not quite sure that fight
should be worshipped because sooner or later one
faces a stronger contender than himself. Should I do
something I enjoy doing or something that I hate but
need to do in order to defeat my fate? What is my
fate? Being myself or being like somebody else?
Fight speeds up the arrival at the equilibrium with
the pool of contenders and finding somebody's true
value (level of incompetence, as in Murphy's
laws). I would
not recommend Lao Tzu to anybody in America.
Besides, it contains a profound contradiction:
written by a hermit, it is an instruction to a
leader! I
believe that this world exists because the laws and
forces of nature are mostly compensating each
other—otherwise the world would collapse into dead
calm long ago. If there were adverse as well as
favorable laws, one could use the latter to move
forward, as the sailor uses tacking to go upwind
and jibing to go
downwind. The two modes of movement exploit two
completely different laws of fluid dynamics and
disable the third law that forbids sailing directly
against the wind. One cannot sail "through the eye
of the wind," as sailors say, but this is all we
cannot do and there are plenty of other things that
we can, with the positive final effect. Therefore,
I can give my fatalism a more accurate definition:
no wind, no sailing. What is really useless is to
sail without wind. My habit of leaving the decision
to fate means only that at the dead calm the wind is
beyond my power. Although
I cannot recommend my fatalistic philosophy to
anybody, I suspect that all the inspirational
examples of winning through individual persistence
prove only one thing: there were at least two
different laws of nature, and the person was
flexible enough to use them both in different ways.
In short, there was wind. If there was wind, there
was the open race for the Fate Cup. Is my
position pessimistic or optimistic? Clearly,
pessimism and optimism are not the opposites but
just the two ends of the same scale, like cold and
heat, darkness and light, order and chaos. One way
to understand somebody's position is to look at its
opposite. Fatalism, remarkably, has not one but two
other ends of its scale, as if it were a
two-dimension object. One "other" end of the
fatalistic scale is a complete unpredictability of
the future, which I reject. The other "other"
end sounds like an advertisement of a mouthwash:
"You can do it! Just try hard, knock on every door,
and leave no stone unturned. If you want it very
much, you will get it." No, if I know that it
is impossible to sail through the eye of the wind or
at dead calm, I am completely fatalistic about it.
My fatalism is a direct consequence of inability to
form a network of links with other people. I cannot
raise an army of wind blowers. Character is fate. The most
powerful laws of nature tell us about what is
impossible. One of them, commonly disputed, is that
it is impossible to change one's own nature for the
reason that, by definition, our nature is what is
impossible to change. The eternal human obsession
with snake oil and how-to books is an oblique
acknowledgment of this simple truth. What is
possible to do in times when the wind of history
drops dead before changing its direction is to wait.
This is why we are given the blessing of old age: it
brings, unbelievably, the ability to wait. The curse
of the old age is that there is no time for anything
but waiting. My boat
has always been overloaded with books and dreams,
but it is still the cargo I hesitate to jettison, in
spite of leaks. I can now do what I was never able
to do before: wait. I can do what is senseless. APPENDIX 1.
How to control your fate: Out of
38,217 titles with the keywords how to (Barnes
and Noble, May, 20002) , the top of the best-selling
list includes: *
How to Be a Great Lover *
How to Sculpt Your Ideal Body, Free Your True Self,
and Transform Your Life with Yoga *
How to Give Her Absolute Pleasure *
How to Express Heartfelt Commitment to Your Mate *
How to Make
Love All Night: And Drive Woman Wild *
How to Win Friends and Influence People *
How to Be a Domestic Goddess: Baking and the Art of
Comfort Cooking *
How to Become
a Rainmaker: The Rules for Getting and Keeping
Customers and Clients *
How to Raise a Puppy You Can Live With (which
assumes a possible dramatic discord between human
and canine fates). *
Nevertheless:
*
Take
Control
of Your Life: How to Control Fate, Luck, Chaos,
Karma and Life's Other Unruly Forces *
Awaken
the Giant Within : How to Take Immediate Control of
Your Mental, Emotional, Physical amp Financial
Destiny! * Risk-Takers:
How to Make Your Destiny Reality * God
the Astrologer: Soul, Karma, and Reincarnation--How
We Continually Create Our Own Destiny *
Already,
as
we can see, the great problem of modern times
arises: the discovery that to rescue man from
destiny is to deliver him to chance. [Originally published
in 1951] 3.
Johann
Wofgang von Goethe, Faust: The last
monologue of Faust: FAUST:
Translation:
FAUST.
A marshland flanks the mountain-side, 4.
Lao Tzu, Tao Te Ching
Translated
by Richard Wilhelm/H.G.Oswald (Lao Tzu, Tao Te
Ching: The Book of Meaning and Life, Penguin 60s
Series): 2
Thus
is the Man of Calling. 5. Wu wei applies,
probably, to a philosophy of a steady-state
civilization. Whether the Western civilization of things
can still come to this state, remains unclear.
Regardless of any cosmic issues, the following verse
(translated by Richard Wilhelm) strongly resonates in
me. 29 Conquering
and handling the world: 6. A beautiful
example of looking ahead and sensing the ugly fate:
Bernard Lewis anticipating in
1990 the conflict between the Muslims and America. |
Page
created:
2002
Revised:
2016 Some links are dead, which in
the Googlezoic Era does not matter. Essays 1 to 56 : http://spirospero.net/essays-complete.pdf Essays 57 to 60: http://spirospero.net/LAST_ESSAYS.pdf Essay 60: http://spirospero.net/artandnexistence.pdf |